Congratulations to Iain Dale for daring to come up with a General Election prediction. It's a brave commentator who puts his neck on the line (and he'll get even more kudos if he is prepared to publish his spreadsheet).
Of course, everyone has the right to dispute his predictions, but the key point he makes as far as I am concerned is that you cannot predict anything for the Lib Dems based on a national or regional swing. You have to take it seat by seat.
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